Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-18 0.028286 0.030375 0.032477 0.034745 0.037122 0.039536 0.042170
2026-01-25 0.024247 0.027505 0.030901 0.034695 0.038804 0.043107 0.047943
2026-02-01 0.021747 0.025667 0.029863 0.034662 0.039977 0.045658 0.052166
2026-02-08 0.019807 0.024191 0.028989 0.034587 0.040901 0.047762 0.055743
2026-02-15 0.018190 0.022919 0.028198 0.034467 0.041651 0.049570 0.058899
2026-02-22 0.016860 0.021864 0.027554 0.034420 0.042401 0.051307 0.061918
2026-03-01 0.015524 0.020709 0.026709 0.034062 0.042724 0.052505 0.064280
2026-03-08 0.014157 0.019431 0.025645 0.033375 0.042601 0.053136 0.065946
2026-03-15 0.012927 0.018249 0.024630 0.032683 0.042418 0.053651 0.067439
2026-03-22 0.012488 0.018023 0.024751 0.033339 0.043819 0.056011 0.071079
2026-03-29 0.011830 0.017482 0.024451 0.033453 0.044547 0.057561 0.073760
2026-04-05 0.011126 0.016844 0.023998 0.033348 0.044986 0.058749 0.076002
2026-04-12 0.010724 0.016617 0.024094 0.033976 0.046391 0.061185 0.079850
2026-04-19 0.010035 0.015982 0.023653 0.033922 0.046961 0.062635 0.082555
2026-04-26 0.009414 0.015402 0.023251 0.033890 0.047536 0.064072 0.085236
2026-05-03 0.008826 0.014835 0.022837 0.033816 0.048038 0.065408 0.087786
2026-05-10 0.008266 0.014276 0.022407 0.033698 0.048464 0.066638 0.090200
2026-05-17 0.007773 0.013787 0.022047 0.033651 0.048966 0.067952 0.092714
2026-05-24 0.007211 0.013163 0.021476 0.033299 0.049053 0.068732 0.094558
2026-05-31 0.006582 0.012405 0.020687 0.032622 0.048692 0.068927 0.095657
2026-06-07 0.005999 0.011683 0.019916 0.031942 0.048300 0.069062 0.096665
2026-06-14 0.005854 0.011637 0.020110 0.032587 0.049667 0.071447 0.100518
2026-06-21 0.005562 0.011341 0.019928 0.032699 0.050314 0.072907 0.103203